Polymarket public evaluation flow — Hovvi

What happened

Lead with live probability prices as the brand promise, let anonymous visitors compare outcomes inside a real market, and require identity only when money is committed. Let an anonymous visitor browse live probability markets, compare outcomes inside one real market and meet the account gate only when committing to trade.

Evidence

Observed facts

• The English homepage leads with a live featured market showing real-time percentages and trade actions before any explanation of prediction markets.
• Politics ranks live markets by dollar volume and shows sidebar topic counts such as All 3.3K and Midterms 1.1K.
• The Fed Decision event page lists outcome rows No change 67% and 25 bps increase 34%, each with its own volume and one-click Buy Yes and Buy No cent prices.
• The event header pairs a probability chart labelled Source: Polymarket.com with $51,741,671 volume and a September 15, 2026 end date.
• A Rules section beneath the outcomes states the FOMC resolution basis in plain language next to 8,706 comments.
• Attempting to commit opens the Welcome to Polymarket modal offering Google, email and wallet sign-up while browsing without an account stays open.

Editorial inference

• Exposing live prices publicly builds evaluation trust before identity is requested, so Hovvi should let agents read evidence before any account exists.

Product flow

1. Live promise hero
2. Ranked category browse
3. Market pricing detail
4. Outcome comparison with rules
5. Account boundary

Founder takeaway

Make the price itself the landing promise; ask for identity only when money moves.

Use when

• The product's core output such as a price or probability is safe to expose publicly
• Value grows when visitors can compare many live instances before committing

Avoid when

• The underlying data is private or regulated for anonymous access
• The product cannot enforce commitment at a single clear boundary

Next implementation step

Design a public evaluation journey that moves from a live probability hero to ranked discovery, one market's pricing proof and an explicit commitment boundary.

Acceptance criteria

• Every stage resolves to a rights-qualified observed screen
• A visitor reaches a real market's pricing and rules without creating an account
• Outcome probabilities carry volumes and buy prices side by side
• The account modal appears only at commitment and names its methods
• Authenticated continuation is explicitly excluded until observed

Related cases

• Evaluate, then activate: Polymarket live activation flow — Hovvi

  The public evaluation path explains how prices, evidence and commitment appear before the live activation path compresses discovery into a first one-tap position.

• Same evaluation arc, different proof: Cloudflare Workers public product evaluation flow — Hovvi

  Both brands let anonymous visitors move from promise to product proof to an explicit account boundary; Polymarket proves value with live prices while Cloudflare proves it with a runnable sandbox.

Version history

Current snapshot: snap_polymarket_public_evaluation_2026_08_25 — Added the first complete Polymarket flow: anonymous evaluation from the live hero through ranked discovery and market pricing proof to the commitment boundary.

Use with an Agent

Example read-only MCP query: